Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:16:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46e3…3ab6
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$33 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses23 / 12
Open positions4
Markets (closed)35 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day95.0
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 4 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$33
14 days+$33
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$27
other 10% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 8m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +5.8% -4.3% 66% 57% +2.4%
≤30d 35 +5.8% -4.3% 66% 57% +2.4%
≤90d 35 +5.8% -4.3% 66% 57% +2.4%
all 35 +5.8% -4.3% 66% 57% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 57% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 49% -7.4%
15% -21.8% 40% -16.3%
20% -29.5% 26% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.99 · official $24.99 (match) · 100 history records