Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46cb…7324
crypto · 238 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$45 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses143 / 95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)238 / 238
History coverage31d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$40
world 2% $0
weather 1% −$5
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -1.8% -11.2% 60% 52% -14.2%
≤30d 237 -5.1% -14.2% 60% 49% -15.7%
≤90d 238 -5.4% -14.4% 60% 49% -15.8%
all 238 -5.4% -14.4% 60% 49% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 49% -15.8%
10% -22.6% 35% -23.9%
15% -30.1% 22% -31.2%
20% -36.9% 13% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 540 history records