trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +38.6% | +25.4% | 60% | 60% | -18.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +33.2% | +20.5% | 64% | 55% | -4.0% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 56% | 39% | -7.1% |
| all | 18 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 56% | 39% | -7.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.5% | 39% | -7.1% |
| 10% | -6.4% | 39% | -16.0% |
| 15% | -15.4% | 28% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -23.7% | 22% | -31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $120 | $124 | +$4 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $641 | −$630 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $404 | +$296 | +73% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $393 | +$277 | +70% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $537 | −$525 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $152 | +$378 | +250% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $234 | +$266 | +114% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $388 | +$112 | +29% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $301 | +$125 | +42% |
| Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05? | Jun 09 | $440 | −$30 | -7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | Jun 01 | $303 | +$7 | +2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | May 24 | $340 | −$27 | -8% |
| Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15? | May 16 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 11 | $115 | −$115 | -100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11? | May 11 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 09 | $468 | +$132 | +28% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May? | May 03 | $13 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | May 02 | $296 | +$3 | +1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Apr 15 | $410 | −$124 | -30% |