Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:34:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
46 0x46b7…596f crypto 935 markets active 0h ago coverage 94d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate88%827W / 108L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day10.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$7
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 688 -0.2% -9.7% 90% 33% -9.9%
≤30d 884 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 34% -9.9%
≤90d 924 -0.1% -9.6% 89% 34% -10.2%
all 935 -0.6% -10.0% 88% 34% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 34% -10.4%
10% -18.6% 12% -19.0%
15% -26.5% 4% -26.8%
20% -33.7% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

94d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses827 / 108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)935 / 935
History coverage94d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 935 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1907 history records