Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46a8…0d73
crypto · 697 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,778 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$331 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$331
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses308 / 389
Open positions0
Markets (closed)697 / 697
History coverage12d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day295.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 697 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$115
14 days−$331
30 days−$331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$331
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $0 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 363 +0.2% -9.3% 46% 21% -11.2%
≤30d 697 -0.7% -10.2% 44% 20% -11.9%
≤90d 697 -0.7% -10.2% 44% 20% -11.9%
all 697 -0.7% -10.2% 44% 20% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover295.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 20% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 10% -20.4%
15% -26.6% 4% -28.1%
20% -33.8% 2% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records