Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:47:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46a8…e36e
crypto · 112 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$132 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$126
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses56 / 55
Open positions1
Markets (closed)111 / 112
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day441.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$126
7 days−$126
14 days−$126
30 days−$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 53¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$7 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$9 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$9 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$28 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$14 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$9 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$6 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$10 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$18 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$127
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $22 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $21 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $17 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $17 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $14 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $18 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $32 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $17 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $19 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -16.6% -24.5% 50% 40% -17.2%
≤30d 111 -16.6% -24.5% 50% 40% -17.2%
≤90d 111 -16.6% -24.5% 50% 40% -17.2%
all 111 -16.6% -24.5% 50% 40% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover441.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.5% 40% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.7% 20% -25.1%
15% -38.3% 9% -32.3%
20% -44.4% 3% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.23 · official $1.23 (match) · 459 history records