Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:52:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46a3…ead2
crypto · 268 markets active 10h ago
0.0score
+$3,839 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,839 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,839
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses125 / 143
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)268 / 268
History coverage43d
Avg bet$338
Trades / day75.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 268 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,537
7 days+$4,787
14 days+$2,508
30 days+$2,564
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3,225 $0 −$3,225 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5,867 $0 −$5,867 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5,929 −$5,929 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $16,487 +$4,516 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $7,367 +$8,818 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1,009 +$139 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $12,611 +$3,875 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4,118 +$1,013 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $7,119 −$7,119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $8,524 +$2,030 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $208 +$163 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $314 +$97 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3,835 +$1,869 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1,245 +$616 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $610 +$390 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $117 +$326 +279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $675 +$1,625 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5,870 −$5,867 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $333 −$333 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$53 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $217 −$206 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $125 +$462 +369%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $3,328 −$3,225 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $1,712 +$1,655 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$9 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $87 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 08 $50 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 08 $105 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 08 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $24 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 07 $104 −$12 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 07 $86 −$12 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,839
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1,007 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $60 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1,008 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $24 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $49 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1,014 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $42 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $75 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $33 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $43 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $56 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $41 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $39 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $44 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $49 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $72 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +1.1% -8.5% 39% 30% -4.3%
≤30d 207 -21.1% -28.6% 39% 24% -6.9%
≤90d 268 -5.7% -14.7% 47% 35% -5.7%
all 268 -5.7% -14.7% 47% 35% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 35% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 30% -14.7%
15% -30.3% 26% -23.0%
20% -37.1% 23% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records