trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 64% | 60% | +12.5% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 64% | 60% | +12.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 64% | 60% | +12.5% |
| all | 25 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 64% | 60% | +12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.3% | 60% | +12.5% |
| 10% | -6.5% | 40% | +1.8% |
| 15% | -15.6% | 28% | -8.1% |
| 20% | -23.9% | 12% | -17.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26? | No | 85¢ | 80¢ | $36 | $34 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26? | No | 76¢ | 94¢ | $9 | $11 | +$2 (+24%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 26? | Yes | 30¢ | 26¢ | $7 | $6 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | No | 67¢ | 33¢ | $9 | $4 | −$5 (-51%) |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | Down | 62¢ | 66¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | Jun 26 | $36 | +$8 | +22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $24 | +$26 | +106% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? | Jun 25 | $36 | −$3 | -9% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 25? | Jun 25 | $38 | +$13 | +34% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $9 | −$6 | -62% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24? | Jun 24 | $9 | +$4 | +39% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +22% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | Jun 24 | $4 | +$1 | +41% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | -14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $2 | −$1 | -75% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | +$5 | +286% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | +18% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | +27% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$1 | -58% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | -5% |