Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x4699…d412
crypto · 1457 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,773 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,773 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$6,773
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1365 / 301
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1666 / 1457
History coverage54d
Avg bet$199
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1666 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,695
7 days−$7,526
14 days−$7,047
30 days−$7,568
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+53%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$105 -225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $668 −$668 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$995
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $11 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $64 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $150 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $42 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $115 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $39 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $148 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $215 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $107 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $249 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $31 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $150 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $140 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $62 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $448 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $174 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $197 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $268 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $117 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 304 -68.5% -71.5% 30% 0% -34.2%
≤30d 1006 -16.7% -24.6% 74% 6% -14.5%
≤90d 1666 -10.4% -19.0% 82% 6% -11.4%
all 1666 -10.4% -19.0% 82% 6% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 6% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 2% -19.8%
15% -33.8% 1% -27.6%
20% -40.3% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.25 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records