Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:42:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x467a…ca0a
crypto · 2057 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$381 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$381 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$381
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses980 / 617
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1597 / 2057
History coverage25d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day99.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1597 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$925
7 days−$429
14 days−$310
30 days−$381
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 23¢ 36¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$13 -128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$18 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$18 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$620
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 731 +35.0% +22.1% 43% 43% -28.2%
≤30d 1597 +23.6% +11.9% 61% 56% -12.2%
≤90d 1597 +23.6% +11.9% 61% 56% -12.2%
all 1597 +23.6% +11.9% 61% 56% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover99.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.9% 56% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here +1.2% 53% -20.6%
15% -8.6% 32% -28.2%
20% -17.6% 20% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.52 · official $0.52 (match) · 3500 history records