trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 26 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $793 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,694 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $795 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $796 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $797 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $1,695 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $802 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $147 | −$79 | -54% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $1,670 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 26 | $879 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $885 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $885 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 20 | $886 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $1,783 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $888 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $892 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $888 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $893 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $897 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $906 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $906 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $907 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $908 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $909 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $909 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |