trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -36.8% | -42.8% | 27% | 27% | -36.0% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -36.8% | -42.8% | 27% | 27% | -36.0% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -36.8% | -42.8% | 27% | 27% | -36.0% |
| all | 15 | -36.8% | -42.8% | 27% | 27% | -36.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.8% | 27% | -36.0% |
| 10% | -48.3% | 27% | -42.1% |
| 15% | -53.3% | 27% | -47.7% |
| 20% | -57.8% | 13% | -52.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$19 | +93% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$4 | -77% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $35 | −$30 | -85% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$1 | -29% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $46 | −$16 | -34% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $35 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $68 | −$68 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $70 | −$70 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $44 | +$43 | +98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $16 | −$16 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$22 | +43% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |