trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 44% | 44% | -11.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 33% | 33% | -33.1% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +17.3% | +6.1% | 50% | 45% | +26.3% |
| all | 20 | +17.3% | +6.1% | 50% | 45% | +26.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.1% | 45% | +26.3% |
| 10% | -4.0% | 45% | +14.2% |
| 15% | -13.3% | 45% | +3.2% |
| 20% | -21.8% | 45% | -7.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $500 | $491 | −$9 (-2%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 64¢ | 30¢ | $500 | $238 | −$262 (-52%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-5.5) | Jun 21 | $463 | +$368 | +79% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $506 | −$500 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $511 | −$500 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $511 | −$500 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $510 | −$500 | -98% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $508 | +$556 | +109% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $511 | −$500 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $506 | +$341 | +67% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $485 | +$1,153 | +238% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $489 | −$479 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $510 | −$500 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 08 | $489 | −$479 | -98% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 19 | $1,015 | −$998 | -98% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | May 08 | $3,002 | +$7,918 | +264% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 | May 06 | $509 | +$812 | +159% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | May 05 | $507 | +$473 | +93% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Apr 30 | $510 | +$1,156 | +226% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Apr 29 | $2,376 | −$2,376 | -100% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Apr 29 | $501 | +$39 | +8% |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Apr 16 | $300 | +$303 | +101% |