trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 0% | 0% | -13.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +4.1% | -5.9% | 50% | 12% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 37 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 57% | 22% | +2.7% |
| all | 44 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 59% | 27% | +3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.0% | 27% | +3.0% |
| 10% | -15.9% | 23% | -6.9% |
| 15% | -24.0% | 20% | -15.9% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 14% | -24.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $298 | $297 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $89 | $89 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $19 | $19 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $17 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | -6% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | Jun 09 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May? | Jun 09 | $325 | $0 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $498 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C or higher on May 16? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on May 16? | May 18 | $32 | +$1 | +2% |
| Canadiens vs. Rangers | May 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. 76ers | May 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Kings | May 16 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Mavericks | May 16 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pacers | May 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 16 | $68 | −$68 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $40 | +$60 | +152% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 16 | $4 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | May 15 | $1,006 | −$2 | -0% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | May 15 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | May 15 | $19 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | May 15 | $398 | −$1 | -0% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 12 | $223 | +$143 | +64% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $439 | +$389 | +89% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | Apr 25 | $699 | $0 | -0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 24 | $110 | +$48 | +44% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 17 | $538 | +$17 | +3% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? | Apr 07 | $500 | $0 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Apr 05 | $140 | +$102 | +73% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on April 2? | Apr 04 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Apr 04 | $310 | +$155 | +50% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Apr 02 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April? | Apr 02 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April? | Apr 02 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1? | Apr 01 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1? | Apr 01 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Cavaliers vs. Jazz | Apr 01 | $339 | +$25 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | Mar 16 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Blues vs. Jets | Mar 16 | $5 | +$5 | +92% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Mar 15 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | Mar 11 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | Mar 11 | $29 | +$21 | +73% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Mar 10 | $3 | −$1 | -22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Mar 10 | $21 | +$1 | +5% |