Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:07:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
46 0x463e…8aa5 crypto 351 markets active 5d ago coverage 15d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$129 (-1%) realized −$129 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate33%116W / 235L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day121.2pace
Fees−$11est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$1,318
14 days−$338
30 days−$537
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$562
sports 6% +$29
weather 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -27.7% -34.6% 28% 27% -36.3%
≤30d 351 -10.0% -18.5% 33% 33% -15.1%
≤90d 351 -10.0% -18.5% 33% 33% -15.1%
all 351 -10.0% -18.5% 33% 33% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover121.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 33% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 32% -23.2%
15% -33.5% 32% -30.6%
20% -40.0% 32% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -22% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$43 vs −$24 · ×1.83 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses116 / 235
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)351 / 351
History coverage15d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day121.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 351 Trades
no open positions (219 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $58 +$128 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$12 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$23 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$10 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$50 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$24 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$34 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$11 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$19 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$19 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$58 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $50 4d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $20 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 10¢ $5 4d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 23¢ $4 4d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $37 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 99¢ $186 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 30¢ $58 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1881 history records