Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x462e…97c4
crypto · 1732 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9,548 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,548 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9,548
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1626 / 176
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1802 / 1732
History coverage76d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day23.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 1802 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,770
7 days−$8,836
14 days−$9,168
30 days−$9,499
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $214 −$214 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $162 −$162 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $277 −$277 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $158 −$158 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $210 −$210 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $265 −$265 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $213 −$213 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $159 −$159 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $139 −$139 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $247 −$247 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $310 −$310 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 9PM ET Jun 13 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $152 −$152 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$823
other 4% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $92 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $78 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $77 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $70 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $68 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $66 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $65 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $214 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $197 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $192 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $190 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $185 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $181 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $172 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $157 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $131 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $134 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $128 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $128 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $111 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $110 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $105 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -33.6% -40.0% 62% 11% -43.3%
≤30d 578 -14.1% -22.3% 82% 8% -23.7%
≤90d 1802 -5.1% -14.1% 90% 9% -13.5%
all 1802 -5.1% -14.1% 90% 9% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 9% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 3% -21.7%
15% -29.9% 1% -29.3%
20% -36.7% 1% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records