Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:00:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x462b…2742
crypto · 75 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses33 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day37.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$31
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $11 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-35.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -29.2% -35.9% 44% 40% -31.7%
≤30d 75 -29.2% -35.9% 44% 40% -31.7%
≤90d 75 -29.2% -35.9% 44% 40% -31.7%
all 75 -29.2% -35.9% 44% 40% -31.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.9% 40% -31.7%
10% ← realistic here -42.1% 31% -38.3%
15% -47.7% 25% -44.2%
20% -52.8% 21% -49.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 139 history records