Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:12:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x461b…7360
crypto · 485 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,287 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,285 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$2,285
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses209 / 466
Open positions3
Markets (closed)675 / 485
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day3063.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 675 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,285
7 days−$2,285
14 days−$2,285
30 days−$2,285
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $4 $11 +$6 (+157%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$5 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 29¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$5 (+245%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$3 (+74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+75%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 97¢ 96¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 3¢ 4¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -91%
Spread: Valencia (-5.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will GIF Sundsvall win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 10, 4PM ET? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 4PM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -37%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Portugal leading at halftime? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 10, 4PM ET? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$13 -69%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 10, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$6 -145%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$558
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $0 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-45.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 675 -39.6% -45.4% 31% 24% -32.3%
≤30d 675 -39.6% -45.4% 31% 24% -32.3%
≤90d 675 -39.6% -45.4% 31% 24% -32.3%
all 675 -39.6% -45.4% 31% 24% -32.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3063.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.4% 24% -32.3%
10% ← realistic here -50.6% 17% -38.8%
15% -55.4% 12% -44.7%
20% -59.8% 9% -50.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.44 · official $56.64 (match) · 3500 history records