Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:56:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x4601…65a8
crypto · 57 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses49 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day60.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -0.4% -9.9% 86% 35% -10.4%
≤30d 57 -0.4% -9.9% 86% 35% -10.4%
≤90d 57 -0.4% -9.9% 86% 35% -10.4%
all 57 -0.4% -9.9% 86% 35% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 35% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 19% -19.0%
15% -26.4% 12% -26.8%
20% -33.6% 4% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 128 history records