trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +20.0% | +8.5% | 45% | 45% | +41.9% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +4.4% | -5.6% | 43% | 43% | +20.3% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +4.4% | -5.6% | 43% | 43% | +20.3% |
| all | 30 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 40% | 40% | +14.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 40% | +14.9% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 33% | +3.9% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 33% | -6.1% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 33% | -15.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | $20 | $31 | +$11 (+56%) |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | Yes | 50¢ | 49¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $14 | +$4 (+39%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+17%) |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 | Over | 50¢ | 40¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-19%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $30 | +$25 | +83% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $21 | +$32 | +157% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $30 | +$31 | +101% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Jun 14 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $13 | −$13 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$13 | +262% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $25 | +$27 | +105% |
| Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$10 | +188% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $13 | +$9 | +68% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$24 | +238% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Jun 02 | $10 | −$5 | -47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Jun 02 | $15 | −$5 | -32% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $21 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 29 | $20 | +$4 | +20% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |