Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:28:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x45e2…35ff
crypto · 330 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$75 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses185 / 145
Open positions0
Markets (closed)330 / 330
History coverage3d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day933.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$70
7 days−$75
14 days−$75
30 days−$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$18 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$6 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$7 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$11 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$9 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$9 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$11 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 +7.5% -2.7% 56% 43% -10.5%
≤30d 330 +7.5% -2.7% 56% 43% -10.5%
≤90d 330 +7.5% -2.7% 56% 43% -10.5%
all 330 +7.5% -2.7% 56% 43% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover933.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.7% 43% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 25% -19.1%
15% -20.5% 12% -26.9%
20% -28.3% 6% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records