Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x45e0…2211
crypto · 626 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,232 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,506 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,506
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses319 / 307
Open positions0
Markets (closed)626 / 626
History coverage52d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day31.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 626 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$310
7 days−$195
14 days−$366
30 days−$764
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$14 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$12 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$13 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$13 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$15 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$16 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$17 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$17 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$17 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$17 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$19 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$16 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$18 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$23 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$23 +92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,506
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $13 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $13 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $12 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $15 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 50% -12.5%
≤30d 497 -2.8% -12.0% 53% 53% -12.9%
≤90d 626 -4.3% -13.4% 51% 51% -14.6%
all 626 -4.3% -13.4% 51% 51% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 51% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 51% -22.7%
15% -29.2% 51% -30.2%
20% -36.2% 51% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2163 history records