Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x45b1…1379
crypto · 319 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,700 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$778 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$778
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses195 / 151
Open positions0
Markets (closed)346 / 319
History coverage5d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day625.5
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 346 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days+$778
14 days+$778
30 days+$778
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $345 $0 −$345 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $126 −$13 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $78 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $97 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$30 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$9 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $101 −$56 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$17 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$16 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$66 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $147 +$474 +323%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,036
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 346 -7.9% -16.7% 56% 36% -6.9%
≤30d 346 -7.9% -16.7% 56% 36% -6.9%
≤90d 346 -7.9% -16.7% 56% 36% -6.9%
all 346 -7.9% -16.7% 56% 36% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover625.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 36% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 18% -15.8%
15% -31.9% 7% -23.9%
20% -38.6% 4% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records