trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 14 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 20 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 26 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 06 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 24 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 25 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 23 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 25 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 28 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 30 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Fulham wins the Premier League? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 09 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | May 09 | $0 | $0 | -17% |
| Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025? | Apr 13 | $280 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Feb 15 | $1 | −$1 | -57% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jan 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -14% |