trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +49.7% | +35.4% | 100% | 100% | +35.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +49.7% | +35.4% | 100% | 100% | +35.4% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +16.2% | +5.1% | 87% | 20% | -3.0% |
| all | 28 | +9.0% | -1.4% | 93% | 11% | -3.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.4% | 11% | -3.8% |
| 10% | -10.9% | 11% | -13.0% |
| 15% | -19.5% | 11% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -27.4% | 7% | -29.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $79 | $73 | −$7 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 21 | $55 | +$27 | +50% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Apr 28 | $52 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 8? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 9? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 9? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 9? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 51°F or below on April 9? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 8? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 8? | Apr 24 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Apr 07 | $33 | +$19 | +57% |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 31 | $159 | −$126 | -79% |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Mar 26 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Mar 26 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on March 17? | Mar 26 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Mar 24 | $56 | +$114 | +205% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 17? | Mar 17 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on March 16? | Mar 17 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on March 16? | Mar 17 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Mar 17 | $37 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 17°F or below on March 16? | Mar 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 16? | Mar 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on Ma | Mar 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on Marc | Mar 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 18-19°F on March 16 | Mar 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 37°F or below on March 16? | Mar 16 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on March 16 | Mar 16 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C or below on March 16? | Mar 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on March 16? | Mar 16 | $6 | $0 | +0% |