Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:40:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x458d…2dc0
other · 56 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$6 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses27 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage98d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$24
14 days+$20
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $56 +$26 +46%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $49 −$1 -2%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $15 −$6 -38%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $64 +$3 +4%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $18 +$6 +32%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $57 −$10 -17%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $27 +$4 +14%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 2? Jun 02 $33 +$1 +3%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $62 −$5 -8%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $32 +$4 +13%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 28? May 28 $14 −$8 -60%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 27? May 27 $21 $0 +2%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $50 $0 -0%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 22? May 22 $52 −$2 -3%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 21? May 21 $48 $0 +0%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 20? May 21 $22 −$12 -56%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $49 −$1 -1%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 18? May 18 $103 +$19 +18%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 15? May 16 $64 −$13 -20%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 14? May 15 $19 −$5 -24%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 13? May 14 $42 −$22 -52%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 12? May 13 $22 −$2 -10%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 11? May 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 8? May 09 $49 +$32 +65%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 7? May 07 $19 −$7 -34%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 6? May 07 $47 −$15 -32%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5? May 05 $23 −$22 -98%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 4? May 04 $112 +$26 +24%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 1? May 02 $24 +$10 +40%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 30? May 01 $47 +$1 +3%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 17? Apr 18 $54 +$3 +6%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 16? Apr 16 $77 +$17 +22%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 15? Apr 16 $16 −$6 -37%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 14? Apr 15 $34 −$5 -15%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 8? Apr 14 $74 +$1 +1%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 13? Apr 14 $40 −$1 -2%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 10? Apr 13 $59 −$15 -26%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 9? Apr 10 $38 +$4 +11%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 7? Apr 08 $24 −$5 -19%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 6? Apr 07 $17 +$11 +66%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 2? Apr 03 $14 +$11 +77%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 1? Apr 02 $35 +$19 +53%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 26? Mar 27 $6 $0 +4%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 24? Mar 24 $8 −$8 -99%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 23? Mar 24 $29 +$5 +18%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 20? Mar 21 $21 +$2 +8%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 19? Mar 20 $67 −$13 -19%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 18? Mar 19 $12 +$11 +92%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 17? Mar 18 $20 −$7 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 2¢ $1 1h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 3¢ $1 1h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 10¢ $2 3h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 7¢ $3 4h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 9¢ $3 4h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 88¢ $8 5h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 85¢ $11 6h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 15¢ $4 6h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 81¢ $4 6h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 82¢ $1 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 78¢ $11 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 75¢ $3 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 24¢ $1 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 30¢ $3 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 33¢ $2 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 33¢ $10 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 42¢ $11 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 46¢ $12 7h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 87¢ $5 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 40¢ $3 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 60¢ $3 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 58¢ $3 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 36¢ $6 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 65¢ $4 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 64¢ $8 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 56¢ $3 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 56¢ $0 25h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 43¢ $0 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +155.0% +130.7% 60% 40% +2.1%
≤30d 22 +28.0% +15.8% 45% 27% -11.4%
≤90d 51 +10.7% +0.1% 49% 31% -9.0%
all 56 +10.0% -0.5% 48% 32% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.5% 32% -9.3%
10% -10.0% 21% -18.0%
15% -18.7% 18% -25.9%
20% -26.7% 12% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.32 · official $0.00 (match) · 801 history records