Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:37:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x4579…f6b0
crypto · 32 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses16 / 12
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)28 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day79.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Up 92¢ 97¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $6 +$6 +91%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -82%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $70 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% $0
other 14% −$9
sports 3% +$6
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $12 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 92¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $11 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $12 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $24 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -10.5% -19.0% 57% 36% -12.2%
≤30d 28 -10.5% -19.0% 57% 36% -12.2%
≤90d 28 -10.5% -19.0% 57% 36% -12.2%
all 28 -10.5% -19.0% 57% 36% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 36% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 18% -20.6%
15% -33.8% 14% -28.2%
20% -40.3% 4% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.17 · official $27.17 (match) · 82 history records