Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:38:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x4560…bb25
other · 240 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$77 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$77 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses12 / 228
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 240
History coverage124d
Avg bet$187
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$11
14 days−$22
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $238 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $114 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $181 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $307 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 13 $697 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $395 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $522 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $277 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $284 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $168 +$1 +1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $497 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $189 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $236 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $443 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $187 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $348 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $464 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $398 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $111 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $270 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $420 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $397 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $56 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $213 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $411 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $495 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $188 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $328 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $147 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $115 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $58 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $556 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $332 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $207 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $127 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $147 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 02 $59 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $276 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $275 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $145 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $467 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 01 $280 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $305 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $60 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $608 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $60 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 29 $331 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 29 $621 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $355 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$41
sports 22% −$18
economics 7% −$4
culture 6% −$5
politics 5% −$3
crypto 4% −$3
world 3% −$1
tech 2% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $53 48m
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $53 1h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $53 6h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $53 7h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $53 10h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $53 12h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $53 13h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $53 14h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $53 16h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $53 18h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $53 19h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $54 21h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 21h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 23h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $54 27h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $54 29h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $54 33h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $54 35h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 41h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 43h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $54 44h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 45h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $54 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $54 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $1 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $1 2d
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $54 2d
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $54 2d
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 2d
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 193 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 240 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1251 history records