Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x4560…56c2
crypto · 135 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses99 / 36
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 135
History coverage33d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$33
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $22 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 09 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$3 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$47
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +0.1% -9.4% 75% 58% -16.0%
≤30d 121 +3.3% -6.5% 74% 63% -12.0%
≤90d 135 +3.1% -6.8% 73% 61% -12.2%
all 135 +3.1% -6.8% 73% 61% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 61% -12.2%
10% -15.7% 39% -20.6%
15% -23.8% 24% -28.3%
20% -31.3% 17% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 403 history records