trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Japan | 91¢ | 92¢ | $15 | $16 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5 | Jun 03 | $16 | +$2 | +11% |
| Exact Score: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 0 FK Kolos Kovalivka? | Jun 03 | $16 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | May 21 | $1,048 | −$3 | -0% |
| Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5 | May 21 | $14 | +$1 | +6% |
| CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 4.5 | May 21 | $17 | +$1 | +7% |
| Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5) | Mar 21 | $19 | +$2 | +10% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 | Mar 21 | $138 | +$109 | +79% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 20 | $277 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,066 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 | Mar 20 | $2,160 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,101 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after th | Mar 20 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the e | Mar 20 | $123 | −$4 | -3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 20 | $968 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary electi | Mar 20 | $47 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election? | Mar 20 | $1,023 | +$17 | +2% |
| Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | Mar 20 | $952 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | Mar 20 | $944 | +$4 | +0% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | Mar 20 | $24 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 19? | Mar 20 | $147 | +$116 | +79% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner | Mar 20 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +6.7% | -3.5% | 80% | 20% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +4.8% | -5.2% | 71% | 14% | -9.0% |
| all | 21 | +4.8% | -5.2% | 71% | 14% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.2% | 14% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -14.2% | 10% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -22.5% | 10% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -30.1% | 10% | -33.0% |