Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:20:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

45
0x4543…3af3
crypto · 758 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$164 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$129 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses723 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)758 / 758
History coverage20d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day37.4
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 758 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$17
14 days+$58
30 days+$129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $11 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $11 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $11 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -1.1% -10.5% 93% 4% -10.5%
≤30d 758 +1.5% -8.2% 95% 6% -8.1%
≤90d 758 +1.5% -8.2% 95% 6% -8.1%
all 758 +1.5% -8.2% 95% 6% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 6% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 0% -16.9%
15% -25.0% 0% -25.0%
20% -32.3% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1481 history records