trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -63.5% | -67.0% | 0% | 0% | -57.8% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -61.9% | -65.5% | 15% | 8% | -65.2% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +13.8% | +2.9% | 24% | 18% | -62.2% |
| all | 17 | +13.8% | +2.9% | 24% | 18% | -62.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.9% | 18% | -62.2% |
| 10% | -6.9% | 18% | -65.9% |
| 15% | -15.9% | 18% | -69.2% |
| 20% | -24.2% | 18% | -72.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | Jun 14 | $1,964 | −$1,221 | -62% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $708 | −$201 | -28% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $279 | −$242 | -87% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? | Jun 10 | $172 | −$67 | -39% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 11? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 04 | $2 | +$1 | +53% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Jun 03 | $2,421 | −$2,017 | -83% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Jun 03 | $201 | −$201 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $937 | +$18 | +2% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | Jun 03 | $55 | −$45 | -81% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 29 | $118 | −$76 | -65% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 25 | $139 | −$70 | -50% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | May 24 | $701 | −$626 | -89% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | May 08 | $72 | +$108 | +149% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? | May 06 | $149 | −$12 | -8% |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Apr 19 | $106 | +$11 | +11% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 16 | $164 | −$94 | -57% |