Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:06:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x44d1…2178
crypto · 8 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses3 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$15 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-23.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -15.1% -23.2% 38% 25% -27.5%
≤30d 8 -15.1% -23.2% 38% 25% -27.5%
≤90d 8 -15.1% -23.2% 38% 25% -27.5%
all 8 -15.1% -23.2% 38% 25% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.2% 25% -27.5%
10% -30.6% 12% -34.4%
15% -37.3% 12% -40.7%
20% -43.4% 12% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 25 history records