trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 60% | 0% | -27.1% |
| all | 13 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 31% | 0% | -24.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.8% | 0% | -24.0% |
| 10% | -23.8% | 0% | -31.2% |
| 15% | -31.2% | 0% | -37.9% |
| 20% | -37.9% | 0% | -44.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 08 | $222 | −$83 | -37% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 23? | May 05 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 26? | Apr 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 04 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 03 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 03 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 01 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 01 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 28 | $9 | −$4 | -43% |