trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 28 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 28 | $986 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 28 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 28 | $1,003 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 28 | $1,022 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 25 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 25 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 25 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 22 | $810 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 22 | $58 | $0 | -0% |
| Netanyahu out by May 31? | May 22 | $785 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? | May 22 | $738 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 21 | $835 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 20 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 20 | $764 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the e | May 20 | $764 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 19 | $799 | −$1 | -0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 19 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 19 | $803 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $772 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 06 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 06 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 06 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Apr 03 | $19 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Apr 01 | $121 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 01 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March? | Mar 29 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $29 | $0 | -0% |