Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:28:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x4454…9d5f
crypto · 1860 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$18,250 +34%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,245 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized+$18,245
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses927 / 505
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1432 / 1860
History coverage4d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day578.0
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 1432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,581
7 days+$18,245
14 days+$18,245
30 days+$18,245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 51¢ 97¢ $25 $48 +$23 (+91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 30¢ $30 $18 −$12 (-39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 48¢ 26¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-44%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$20,447
other 1% +$346
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $18 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1432 +28.5% +16.3% 65% 65% +35.7%
≤30d 1432 +28.5% +16.3% 65% 65% +35.7%
≤90d 1432 +28.5% +16.3% 65% 65% +35.7%
all 1432 +28.5% +16.3% 65% 65% +35.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover578.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.3% 65% +35.7%
10% ← realistic here +5.1% 65% +22.7%
15% -5.0% 64% +10.8%
20% -14.3% 64% -0.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.70 · official $82.38 · 3500 history records