Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:43:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x4447…50d2
crypto · 1253 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,086 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,086 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,086
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1162 / 167
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1329 / 1253
History coverage16d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day143.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1329 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,446
7 days−$7,151
14 days−$7,510
30 days−$7,086
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Lakers 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $182 $0 −$182 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Nigma Galaxy 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +89%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$10 +6898%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $223 −$223 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$10 +18284%
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $181 −$181 -100%
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Calvin Hemery Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$2 +4221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $623 −$623 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$10 +6905%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $362 −$362 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $837 −$837 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschul Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Mauthausen: Darwin Blanch vs Matthew William Donald Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$10 +6905%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $274 −$274 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$9 +69825%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$9 +111549%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $193 −$193 -100%
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Acosta Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$17 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1,254 −$1,254 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,504
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)+0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 681 +19.5% +8.1% 81% 9% -28.9%
≤30d 1329 +10.8% +0.2% 87% 9% -15.2%
≤90d 1329 +10.8% +0.2% 87% 9% -15.2%
all 1329 +10.8% +0.2% 87% 9% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover143.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.2% 9% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -9.4% 5% -23.3%
15% -18.1% 3% -30.7%
20% -26.2% 3% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records