trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 22% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 23% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 23% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 25 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 40% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | $8 | $9 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $32 | −$2 | -8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 09 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 08 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 05 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 26 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 17 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 23 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 20 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? | Mar 19 | $14 | $0 | +2% |