Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T11:53:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
44 0x4432…1a32 crypto 118 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ bot/MM pace (76 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$405 (-3%) realized −$406 · open +$1
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate61%71W / 46L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$109per market
Trades / day76.1pace
Fees−$38est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$34now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$107
7 days−$81
14 days−$81
30 days−$273
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 51% −$184
crypto 31% −$312
other 8% +$15
politics 7% +$85
world 2% −$15
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (76 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -10.4% -18.9% 72% 56% -10.7%
≤30d 78 -19.4% -27.1% 59% 22% -11.9%
≤90d 117 -17.7% -25.5% 61% 17% -12.4%
all 117 -17.7% -25.5% 61% 17% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.5% 17% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 3% -20.8%
15% -39.2% 2% -28.5%
20% -45.1% 1% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
70% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -11% → late -25% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
16.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$20 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$34
Realized−$406
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses71 / 46
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions1
Markets (closed)117 / 118
History coverage45d ⚠
Avg bet$109
Trades / day76.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 117 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Alkmaar: Amelie Van Impe vs Celia Anson Sanchez Amelie Van Impe 90¢ 93¢ $31 $32 +$1 (+3%)
ITF Alkmaar: Amelie Van Impe vs Celia Anson Sanchez Celia Anson Sanchez $1 $2 +$1 (+110%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski Jun 25 $415 −$15 -4%
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Ognjen Milic Jun 25 $180 +$20 +11%
ITF Taipei: Reina Goto vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho Jun 25 $180 +$20 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 24 $33 +$4 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 24 $180 +$20 +11%
ITF Rome: Ava Hrastar vs Sara Shumate Jun 24 $180 +$20 +11%
Plovdiv: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Maxim Mrva Jun 24 $42 −$42 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Gustavo Heide Jun 24 $120 −$120 -100%
Exact Score: Palestine 0 - 1 Kenya? Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Chris Rodesch vs Dusan Lajovic Jun 24 $181 +$19 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Luka Pavlovic Jun 24 $270 +$30 +11%
ITF Rome: Anna Frey vs Capucine Jauffret Jun 24 $180 +$20 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 24 $180 +$20 +11%
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro Jun 24 $176 +$24 +14%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Suzan Lamens Jun 24 $180 +$20 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Veronika Podrez Jun 23 $180 +$20 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 23 $270 +$30 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Alina Charaeva Jun 23 $97 +$3 +3%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Jessika Ponchet Jun 23 $285 +$15 +5%
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertens Jun 22 $360 −$60 -17%
Targu Mures: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Gabriel Ghetu Jun 22 $128 −$113 -88%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Jun 22 $155 −$94 -61%
Targu Mures: Miguel Tobon vs Martin Krumich Jun 22 $568 +$32 +6%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 Jun 21 $1,705 +$15 +1%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 Jun 21 $68 +$32 +48%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET Jun 08 $66 −$66 -100%
Will Solana dip to $75 on June 2? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 69,000 on June 2, 9AM ET? Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 29? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 5? Jun 07 $37 −$37 -100%
Will Solana dip to $50 June 1-7? Jun 07 $1 $0 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 05 $8 −$2 -25%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $218 −$20 -9%
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -72%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -50%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Jun 05 $1 $0 -21%
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? Jun 05 $1 $0 -20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 05 $1 $0 -17%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 05 $2 −$1 -60%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 05 $2 −$1 -39%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 05 $2 $0 -10%
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican prima Jun 05 $463 +$23 +5%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 05 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? Jun 05 $224 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 05 $251 −$10 -4%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $4 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Alkmaar: Amelie Van Impe vs Celia Anson Sanchez BUY Amelie Van Impe 50¢ $2 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Kalin Ivanovski 91¢ $182 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $1 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $1 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $1 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $1 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $1 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $1 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $1 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $2 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 14¢ $17 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Pavlos Tsitsipas 12¢ $25 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Kalin Ivanovski 90¢ $108 1h
ITF Zagreb: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski BUY Kalin Ivanovski 90¢ $72 1h
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Ognjen Milic BUY Andres Santamarta 90¢ $180 2h
ITF Taipei: Reina Goto vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho BUY Priska Madelyn Nugroho 90¢ $180 4h
ITF Alkmaar: Amelie Van Impe vs Celia Anson Sanchez BUY Amelie Van Impe 97¢ $24 5h
ITF Alkmaar: Amelie Van Impe vs Celia Anson Sanchez BUY Celia Anson Sanchez $1 5h
ITF Alkmaar: Amelie Van Impe vs Celia Anson Sanchez BUY Amelie Van Impe 97¢ $5 5h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 90¢ $151 19h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 90¢ $29 19h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Leolia Jeanjean BUY Leolia Jeanjean 90¢ $9 19h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Leolia Jeanjean BUY Leolia Jeanjean 90¢ $24 19h
ITF Rome: Ava Hrastar vs Sara Shumate BUY Ava Hrastar 90¢ $23 19h
ITF Rome: Ava Hrastar vs Sara Shumate BUY Ava Hrastar 90¢ $23 19h
ITF Rome: Ava Hrastar vs Sara Shumate BUY Ava Hrastar 90¢ $25 19h
ITF Rome: Ava Hrastar vs Sara Shumate BUY Ava Hrastar 90¢ $18 19h
ITF Rome: Ava Hrastar vs Sara Shumate BUY Ava Hrastar 90¢ $9 19h
ITF Rome: Ava Hrastar vs Sara Shumate BUY Ava Hrastar 90¢ $18 19h
ITF Rome: Ava Hrastar vs Sara Shumate BUY Ava Hrastar 90¢ $16 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.32 · official $34.32 (match) · 3500 history records