Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:55:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x4412…f131
crypto · 1076 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,668 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,668 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,668
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses512 / 564
Est. fees paid−$95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1076 / 1076
History coverage36d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day77.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 1076 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$179
7 days−$342
14 days−$342
30 days−$2,268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$33 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$12 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$23 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$19 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$20 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$15 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$40 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$34 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $29 −$28 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$58 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $61 −$58 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$47 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$8 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$39 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$35 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$4 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$1,839
sports 21% −$99
other 9% +$61
world 8% +$221
politics 3% +$37
tech 1% −$63
culture 0% +$11
economics 0% $0
finance 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 -11.6% -20.0% 38% 37% -18.6%
≤30d 1013 -3.3% -12.5% 45% 31% -18.1%
≤90d 1076 +1.7% -8.0% 48% 34% -15.6%
all 1076 +1.7% -8.0% 48% 34% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 34% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 30% -23.6%
15% -24.9% 27% -31.0%
20% -32.2% 25% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records