trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | +12.4% | +1.7% | 50% | 45% | -3.1% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +12.3% | +1.6% | 50% | 45% | -2.8% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +12.3% | +1.6% | 50% | 45% | -2.8% |
| all | 22 | +12.3% | +1.6% | 50% | 45% | -2.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.6% | 45% | -2.8% |
| 10% | -8.1% | 36% | -12.1% |
| 15% | -17.0% | 32% | -20.6% |
| 20% | -25.1% | 27% | -28.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | No | 75¢ | 90¢ | $20 | $24 | +$4 (+20%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+17%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83¢ | 86¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 80¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $21 | +$9 | +42% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $32 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $16 | +$11 | +67% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $8 | +$21 | +249% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $16 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $11 | +$7 | +64% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $9 | +$23 | +273% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$13 | +236% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$10 | +192% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $11 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $9 | +$3 | +34% |