Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:42:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

44
0x4409…2780
crypto · 22 markets active 3d ago
0.0score
+$7,240 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,240 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,240
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses11 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2,220
Trades / day523.6
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$7,240
14 days+$7,240
30 days+$7,240
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $576 $0 −$576 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $347 $0 −$347 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $785 $0 −$785 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1,651 $0 −$1,651 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4,146 $0 −$4,146 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2,092 $0 −$2,092 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $6,012 +$172 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $5,036 +$598 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $786 −$785 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $2,092 −$2,092 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $623 +$11,378 +1826%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $155 +$150 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $6,873 +$2,023 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $2,889 −$1,638 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $4,295 −$4,146 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $184 +$135 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $2,148 +$2,727 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $214 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $590 −$576 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $347 −$347 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $507 +$112 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 09 $5,693 +$93 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 08 $213 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 08 $229 −$220 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 08 $31 −$30 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7,240
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $972 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,603 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1,438 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+35.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +49.7% +35.5% 50% 32% +4.3%
≤30d 22 +49.7% +35.5% 50% 32% +4.3%
≤90d 22 +49.7% +35.5% 50% 32% +4.3%
all 22 +49.7% +35.5% 50% 32% +4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover523.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +35.5% 32% +4.3%
10% +22.5% 23% -5.7%
15% ← realistic here +10.7% 18% -14.8%
20% -0.2% 18% -23.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 670 history records