trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +16.4% | +5.3% | 75% | 50% | -5.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +15.5% | +4.5% | 80% | 60% | -3.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +165.3% | +140.0% | 67% | 42% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | +91.3% | +73.0% | 68% | 41% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +73.0% | 41% | -6.8% |
| 10% | +56.5% | 27% | -15.7% |
| 15% | +41.4% | 14% | -23.9% |
| 20% | +27.5% | 9% | -31.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World | Jun 20 | $28 | +$6 | +21% |
| Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $211 | +$20 | +9% |
| Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$35 | +36% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $1,098 | $0 | +0% |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | Jun 12 | $593 | +$69 | +12% |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.5%? | Apr 30 | $1 | +$23 | +1507% |
| Will Santos Laguna win Liga MX? | Apr 28 | $62 | −$62 | -99% |
| Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.6%? | Mar 30 | $2 | +$15 | +687% |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting? | Mar 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the December meeting? | Mar 26 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 26 | $68 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Feb 27 | $49 | −$47 | -96% |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting? | Feb 06 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 29 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Jan 19 | $49 | −$1 | -2% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Jan 02 | $150 | +$53 | +35% |
| Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025? | Jan 02 | $200 | +$57 | +28% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 21 | $250 | +$6 | +2% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Nov 20 | $61 | +$18 | +29% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 09 | $100 | +$18 | +18% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Nov 06 | $257 | $0 | -0% |