trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -50.4% | -55.1% | 0% | 0% | -61.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -50.4% | -55.1% | 0% | 0% | -61.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -34.4% | -40.6% | 47% | 47% | -57.3% |
| all | 19 | -41.8% | -47.3% | 42% | 42% | -68.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -47.3% | 42% | -68.3% |
| 10% | -52.4% | 16% | -71.3% |
| 15% | -57.0% | 0% | -74.1% |
| 20% | -61.2% | 0% | -76.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 53¢ | 46¢ | $8 | $7 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | No | 71¢ | 73¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 60¢ | 92¢ | $0 | $1 | +$0 (+53%) |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 20¢ | 16¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 8¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-86%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Jun 28 | $25 | −$12 | -47% |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | Jun 28 | $50 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? | Jun 24 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Sta | Apr 09 | $48 | +$6 | +12% |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | Apr 07 | $73 | −$72 | -99% |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Apr 07 | $173 | −$170 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Apr 07 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Apr 06 | $47 | −$47 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group S | Apr 05 | $48 | +$8 | +16% |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Apr 05 | $29 | +$3 | +12% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Gr | Apr 04 | $28 | +$6 | +23% |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pl | Apr 03 | $30 | +$9 | +30% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | Apr 01 | $14 | −$14 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Play | Apr 01 | $29 | +$5 | +16% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier | Mar 31 | $30 | +$8 | +27% |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage | Mar 31 | $30 | +$7 | +22% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Mar 29 | $295 | −$267 | -90% |
| LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Mar 29 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qua | Mar 29 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |