Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x43f8…66d8
crypto · 2054 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$770 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$770 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$770
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1228 / 620
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1848 / 2054
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day311.6
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 1848 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$261
7 days+$759
14 days+$770
30 days+$770
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+56%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+52%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+49%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 49¢ 55¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+59%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+59%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$1,225
other 5% +$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1797 +8.5% -1.9% 66% 66% +4.4%
≤30d 1848 +8.9% -1.5% 66% 66% +4.4%
≤90d 1848 +8.9% -1.5% 66% 66% +4.4%
all 1848 +8.9% -1.5% 66% 66% +4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover311.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.5% 66% +4.4%
10% ← realistic here -10.9% 66% -5.6%
15% -19.5% 66% -14.7%
20% -27.4% 53% -23.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.84 · official $34.00 · 3500 history records