Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x43f6…496e
crypto · 66 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$67 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses24 / 40
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)64 / 66
History coverage6d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day14.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$28
14 days+$28
30 days+$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$20 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$18 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$13 +237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$32 +604%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 08 $24 −$22 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 08 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 08 $11 +$16 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$4
sports 3% $0
other 2% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $21 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -0.5% -10.0% 38% 38% -4.9%
≤30d 64 -0.5% -10.0% 38% 38% -4.9%
≤90d 64 -0.5% -10.0% 38% 38% -4.9%
all 64 -0.5% -10.0% 38% 38% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 38% -4.9%
10% -18.6% 38% -14.0%
15% -26.5% 38% -22.3%
20% -33.7% 38% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.79 · official $24.79 (match) · 107 history records