Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:59:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x43f3…293c
sports · 327 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,137 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,560 · open −$424
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,142
Realized+$2,560
Unrealized−$424
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses142 / 162
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$700
Open positions23
Markets (closed)304 / 327
History coverage8d
Avg bet$157
Trades / day104.7
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 23 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,070
7 days+$2,838
14 days+$2,560
30 days+$2,560
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 12¢ 77¢ $126 $783 +$657 (+522%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $58 $207 +$149 (+257%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 71¢ 87¢ $126 $154 +$28 (+22%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ 60¢ $60 $137 +$77 (+129%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 40¢ $123 $131 +$8 (+7%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 26¢ 26¢ $126 $124 −$2 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 54¢ 100¢ $59 $109 +$50 (+84%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 88¢ 74¢ $122 $104 −$19 (-15%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Over 35¢ 55¢ $60 $93 +$33 (+56%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 65¢ 100¢ $59 $90 +$32 (+54%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 70¢ 100¢ $58 $83 +$25 (+43%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 42¢ 55¢ $59 $77 +$18 (+30%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 78¢ 100¢ $59 $75 +$16 (+28%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ 40¢ $59 $65 +$6 (+9%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 61¢ 66¢ $60 $64 +$4 (+7%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $62 $64 +$2 (+3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 65¢ 66¢ $60 $60 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 81¢ $60 $60 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 42¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-1%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Minnesota Lynx 26¢ 26¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 81¢ $59 $59 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 84¢ $60 $58 −$1 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Over 19¢ 18¢ $60 $58 −$2 (-3%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 80¢ 78¢ $60 $58 −$2 (-3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 34¢ $60 $57 −$3 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $31 +$29 +92%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) Jun 14 $121 −$4 -3%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Jun 14 $18 +$12 +67%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $60 +$18 +30%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $180 −$50 -28%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $59 +$24 +40%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $246 −$32 -13%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $124 +$35 +28%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $122 −$34 -28%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 Jun 13 $20 −$19 -98%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Jun 13 $25 −$24 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $43 −$42 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $146 −$110 -75%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $57 +$5 +8%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $183 +$49 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $58 +$16 +27%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 13 $38 −$37 -97%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 13 $59 +$14 +24%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $121 +$60 +50%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $58 +$179 +307%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $112 +$29 +26%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $80 −$59 -73%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $62 +$68 +109%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $62 +$49 +79%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $121 +$150 +124%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $180 −$112 -62%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $121 −$24 -20%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $125 +$136 +109%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $122 +$185 +152%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $59 +$20 +34%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $58 +$15 +26%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $243 +$1 +0%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $59 +$53 +88%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $122 +$8 +6%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $44 −$44 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $58 −$57 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $13 +$7 +57%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $112 +$48 +42%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $19 +$11 +56%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $46 +$48 +106%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $123 +$59 +48%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $122 +$123 +101%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $245 −$18 -7%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $123 +$27 +22%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $245 +$65 +26%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $244 −$70 -29%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $103 +$25 +25%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $244 −$103 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$2,389
other 2% −$252
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $61 4m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 26¢ $61 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 61¢ $60 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 40¢ $61 14m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $61 24m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 35¢ $61 29m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $60 29m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ $61 44m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 42¢ $22 44m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 36¢ $2 44m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 19¢ $61 44m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 80¢ $1 49m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $60 59m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 61¢ $60 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $60 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $60 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 4¢ $2 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 42¢ $60 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $60 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 47¢ $20 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Indiana Fever 49¢ $60 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 61¢ $25 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 55¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 8¢ $3 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 51¢ $60 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 4¢ $38 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 59¢ $60 1h
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 70¢ $60 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 61¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ $60 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 +3.5% -6.4% 47% 43% -3.8%
≤30d 304 +3.4% -6.5% 47% 43% -4.8%
≤90d 304 +3.4% -6.5% 47% 43% -4.8%
all 304 +3.4% -6.5% 47% 43% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover104.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 43% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 38% -13.9%
15% -23.6% 30% -22.2%
20% -31.1% 26% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,141.85 · official $3,125.36 (match) · 1091 history records