Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x43f1…60cb
crypto · 919 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$704 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$704 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$704
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses483 / 436
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 919
History coverage29d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day78.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$317
7 days+$106
14 days+$242
30 days−$704
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$51 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$77 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$24 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$13 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $154 −$60 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$24 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $159 +$50 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$16 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$14 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $64 +$53 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$7 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$9 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $202 −$59 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $46 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $64 +$45 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$26 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$7 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $72 +$41 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $86 −$11 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $56 +$21 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $92 +$32 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$8 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$704
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $16 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $44 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 221 +7.8% -2.4% 57% 52% -8.3%
≤30d 919 +0.1% -9.4% 53% 50% -12.5%
≤90d 919 +0.1% -9.4% 53% 50% -12.5%
all 919 +0.1% -9.4% 53% 50% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 50% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 45% -20.8%
15% -26.0% 40% -28.5%
20% -33.3% 34% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records