trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +169.1% | +143.5% | 25% | 25% | +730.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +169.1% | +143.5% | 25% | 25% | +730.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +169.1% | +143.5% | 25% | 25% | +730.3% |
| all | 295 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 48% | 48% | -7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 48% | -7.5% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 48% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 47% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 44% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 70¢ | 84¢ | $100 | $121 | +$21 (+21%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 15 | $173 | +$1,693 | +976% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Dec 23 | $67 | +$33 | +49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | Dec 23 | $100 | +$84 | +84% |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) | Dec 23 | $20 | +$13 | +64% |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) | Dec 23 | $20 | +$21 | +104% |
| Spread: Kings (-1.5) | Dec 23 | $40 | +$22 | +56% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Kings | Dec 23 | $68 | −$68 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Lightning | Dec 23 | $20 | +$9 | +43% |
| Canucks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5 | Dec 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Flyers (-1.5) | Dec 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Flyers | Dec 22 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 | Dec 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | Dec 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Ducks | Dec 22 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 | Dec 22 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Bruins | Dec 22 | $50 | +$38 | +75% |
| Canadiens vs. Penguins | Dec 22 | $50 | +$46 | +92% |
| Sabres vs. Devils | Dec 22 | $50 | +$64 | +127% |
| Jets vs. Utah | Dec 21 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Dec 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Predators | Dec 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Stars | Dec 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | Dec 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Red Wings | Dec 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Ducks | Dec 21 | $244 | +$198 | +81% |
| Kraken vs. Sharks | Dec 21 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Flames | Dec 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Predators | Dec 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Canadiens | Dec 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Lightning | Dec 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Bruins | Dec 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Dec 19 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Dec 19 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Sharks | Dec 17 | $100 | +$127 | +127% |
| Oilers vs. Penguins | Dec 17 | $100 | +$73 | +73% |
| Utah vs. Bruins | Dec 17 | $100 | +$92 | +92% |
| Canucks vs. Rangers | Dec 17 | $100 | +$108 | +108% |
| Flyers vs. Canadiens | Dec 17 | $100 | +$113 | +112% |
| Ducks vs. Penguins | Dec 17 | $1 | +$1 | +108% |
| Capitals vs. Wild | Dec 16 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Islanders vs. Red Wings | Dec 16 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Lightning | Dec 16 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Dec 09 | $90 | −$70 | -78% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | Dec 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Kraken | Dec 09 | $100 | +$75 | +75% |
| Red Wings vs. Canucks | Dec 09 | $100 | +$89 | +89% |
| Kings vs. Utah | Dec 09 | $100 | +$96 | +96% |