Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:07:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

43
0x43d7…80f5
sports · 11 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$7 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)7 / 11
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 4 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Germany 34¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-51%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 +$3 +83%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$7 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$2
sports 43% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 34¢ $2 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 14h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 16h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $3 16h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 28h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 28h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $3 28h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +16.4% +5.3% 57% 57% +18.7%
≤30d 7 +16.4% +5.3% 57% 57% +18.7%
≤90d 7 +16.4% +5.3% 57% 57% +18.7%
all 7 +16.4% +5.3% 57% 57% +18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.3% 57% +18.7%
10% -4.7% 57% +7.4%
15% -13.9% 57% -3.0%
20% -22.4% 57% -12.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.86 · official $6.86 (match) · 19 history records